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Solar power: the dark side of the sun

08 Feb, 2012 06:00 AM
IT'S one of our most plentiful natural resources, and it costs us nothing. So why can't Australia, or any other country for that matter, convert rays from the sun into electricity on a mass scale with any degree of success?

News that two of the Gillard government's flagship renewable energy projects are facing eclipse as they struggle to find backers is the latest evidence that solar power's time has not yet arrived, reports The Australian Financial Review.

In the United States, solar systems makers Solyndra and Evergreen Solar have filed for bankruptcy, citing the US's slow uptake of clean energy policies as one of the reasons.

Meanwhile, cash-strapped European governments have taken solar power off their to-do list. Germany, Italy, Spain, France and the Czech Republic have all slashed previously generous industry subsidies.

Tony Wood, energy program director at the Grattan Institute, says a "mishmash" of confusing government policies has confounded attempts to solve the fundamental conundrum: solar energy is too expensive.

"The central answer is that you have to find a way to get the scale right and most of these schemes haven't been able to get that and find a policy that gives people enough confidence and incentive to buy the energy the schemes are hoping to produce," he says.

Here's the rub: electricity from coal-fired power stations, which supply most of Australia's sprawling grid, costs between $40 and $50 per megawatt hour on a wholesale basis; but electricity generated from solar technology, on the other hand, costs $150 per megawatt hour (even though the "fuel" is free).

Even a price on carbon pollution and extra revenue from the sale of Renewable Energy Certificates (RECs) do not make up the difference.

The good news, from the retailers' point of view at least, is that tough competition from Chinese manufacturers, and an oversupply in photovoltaic panels, has caused the capital cost of industrial-scale solar projects to tumble (another big reason for the collapse of Solyndra and Evergreen Solar in the US).

But the price discrepancy between solar and other forms of power is still so great that government intervention is the only lifeline available for large-scale deployment.

The fact that Europe, Australia and the US have set targets to reduce total emissions by 80 per cent by 2050 would seem to play right into solar's hands. Yet policies to encourage take up have failed to bridge the gap.

In Australia there is still a glut of RECs as a result of the botched household solar scheme. Energy retailers hoovered up the excess certificates and so have little motivation to buy solar power right now.

It's one of the reasons that the Moree Solar Farm in NSW and the Solar Dawn project in Queensland, the first two schemes under the government's $1.5 billion Solar Flagships program, have been unable to secure backers.

The oversupply of certificates will eventually subside, but electricity generated from wind is still a less risky and far cheaper option, at about $100 per megawatt hour.

Other hopes are being pinned on the carbon price scheme, which starts on July 1. However, the uncertainty around the policy has added to the fractious atmosphere among potential investors.

"For the foreseeable future, we will have to have an emissions trading scheme in order for solar to be viable," Wood says.

"The problem is that he credibility of the scheme is in doubt, particularly as the Opposition has said they will repeal it. Creating a credible emissions trading scheme is the first challenge."

Wood insists there will be a time at which a rising emissions price and reducing costs of solar technologies will cross over.

But it appears this is some time away, which is one reason Australian investors are fighting shy of large-scale solar projects.

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The one part of the housing market where solar power has a cost advantage is the "acreage block" sector on the fringes of our major cities. The up front costs of extending mains power to such developments is far in excess of the cost of a stand alone solar system. So this type of development doesn't need any form of subsidy to produce a very high uptake of solar.

The problem is that the very same green/left plodders who promote alternative power have also prohibited new acreage developments under the various regional development plans. Everything they touch turns to crap.

Posted by Ian Mott, 8/02/2012 11:20:44 AM
Could high maintenance costs due to metal fatigue in blades caused by wind surge, plus uncertainty regarding the lifespan of wind power turbines be stifling investment?

When it comes to investing there is considerable difference between a 15 years & a 25 years lifespan yet both those figures have been quoted. Which is correct?

There are multiple factors to be considered by both wind & solar power investors, not least of which is appliance refinement that is already reducing the amount of energy electrical appliances consume.

Posted by jock, 8/02/2012 3:04:50 PM
The Howard government had a subsidy scheme in place to encourage the use of solar pumping of water in areas where there is no mains power close by.

Guess what - Ju-liar and Co canned it.

They also did the same for solar-powered stand-alone systems for those operating businesses that are not close enough to Main Power.

I thought they are promoters of clean green energy!

Posted by Bushfire Blonde, 8/02/2012 4:35:39 PM
Yeh! Butterflies are free, but they taste lousy!

Err, what's the critical paragraph?

"..electricity from coal-fired power stations, which supply most of Australia's sprawling grid, costs between $40 and $50 per megawatt hour on a wholesale basis; but electricity generated from solar technology, on the other hand, costs $150 per megawatt hour (even though the "fuel" is free)."

It doesn't add up, it's a dud. But, I do have a bridge I can sell you. Cheap. Honest.

Posted by Bill Pounder, 8/02/2012 7:08:43 PM
The reason these projects fail in Australia is because they are being run but corrupt cronies taking excessive sums of cash from their even more corrupt Politician friends. They have no interest in actually achieving anything. Instead they just want to steal as much money from the system as possible. In the meantime the people who can actually do something useful are marginalised and ignored because that would make it too obvious to the rest of Australia how corrupt the Politicians really are. Solar doesn't have to be expensive. They want it to be to keep the status quo...
Posted by zero, 8/02/2012 8:38:09 PM
Due to the Merit Order Effect (detailed in a paper by the University of Melbourne's Energy Research Institute) where the addition of electricity to the market from installing rooftop solar panels causes a resultant lowering of the weighted average wholesale price, electricity becomes cheaper for all consumers when we pay people for their solar produced. So the net result of funding a Feed-in-Tariff on electricity bills is a lowering of our retail bills. So we should all be calling for rooftop solar including a Feed-in-Tariff of about 35cents and reducing to 30cents by 2015.
Posted by Matthew Wright, 9/02/2012 4:21:50 AM
It's intentionally deceptive to compare the $40 - $50/MWh wholesale price of fossil energy to solar as largescale solar will always have to compete on this basis.

The key is at smaller scale where the costs of delivering the power are eliminated PV will be comparable in a couple of years. At the residential scale we are talking about greater than $200/MWh for grid supplied power. PV is not expensive compared to that.

Posted by Ken Winter, 9/02/2012 5:44:18 AM
You are talking crap, Wright. The feed in from solar systems makes no contribution to the upkeep of the network so it can only undermine the viability of the baseload generators.

The margin from $50/MWh to $200/MWh is what covers the cost of the grid. If the wholesaler has to pay more than $200/MWh for solar feed-in then there is clearly no contribution towards grid costs from this source.

Solar and wind = parasites. You people keep telling us it will change but. frankly, you can go to the far queue until it actually pays its way.

Posted by Ian Mott, 9/02/2012 8:30:46 AM
The universal expert, Pott, who knows more about anything than anyone, fails on two counts.

One - He has no manners. If his factual information were robust, he would not need to bolster it with abuse.

Two - His entrenched (and unscientific) opinions on matters of climate prevent him from taking any but the most short-sighted position on questions of energy generation. His colleague Mounder is equally - or even more - limited.


Posted by nico, 10/02/2012 9:25:18 AM
The reason there is no investment in wind farms is that no bank will lend to spivs with no backing.

No one will lend money to a technology that needs a subisdy to be viable.

A quick change of government and policy on this junk and whos going to pay back the bank?

Posted by nathan, 10/02/2012 7:26:25 PM
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