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CSIRO paints bleak outlook for Murray

24/11/2008 3:08:00 PM
A new report on water availability in the Murray Darling Basin proves it can longer be "business as usual" in the ailing river system, according to Federal Water Minister, Penny Wong.

The report, compiled following extensive modelling and sustainable yield mapping throughout the basin, reveals total flow at the Murray mouth has been reduced by 61pc and the river now ceases to flow through the mouth 40pc of the time, compared with 1pc in the absence of water resource development.

It said the median decline for the entire Basin is projected to be 11pc by 2030 – 9pc in the north and 13pc in the south.

Senator Wong launched the report on the banks of the Murrumbidgee River outside Canberra today and said it makes for "sobering reading".

Senator Wong said it was a "stark reminder of why we need to act" on water reform and climate change, and also of the "enormous cost of inaction".

But Senator Wong defended the Government's pre-emptive action of buying water licences ahead of the report findings which detail over-allocation hot spots.

She said the Government took water reform to the community as an election commitment and was "getting on with the job" of purchasing water and investing in communities.

She said the days of "business as usual" simply can't continue.

While the report points to the drastic need for a reduction in water use for irrigation, Senator Wong said the Government would not begin telling farmers how and where they should farm or what they should be growing.

Other key findings from the report reveal:

  • under the median 2030 climate, diversions in driest years would fall by more than 10 per cent in most NSW regions, 20pc in the Murrumbidgee and Murray regions, and from around 35pc to 50pc in the Victorian regions;
  • under the dry extreme 2030 climate, diversions in driest years would fall by around 40-50pc in New South Wales regions, over 70pc in the Murray, and 80-90pc in major Victorian regions;
  • by 2070 the median climate under high global warming is expected to be broadly similar to the dry extreme 2030 climate; and
  • current groundwater use is unsustainable in seven of the 20 high-use groundwater areas in the Basin and will lead to major drawdowns in groundwater levels in the absence of management intervention.

The report can be found at the Department of Environment website.

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So that's how it's going to be? Irrigation in Australia finished? Why don't you come straight out with it and tell us all we must leave tommorrow and do us all a big favour. You can spend 750 million on a pipe to melb to sell urban water, but you can't run a pipe from the North to put water INTO the river so the "current" food producers can stay put. WHAT A LOAD OF..........
Posted by Wong Dream on 25/11/2008 7:10:38 AM
In the face of reports such as this, the NSW Government, supported by the Liberal/National coalition is still considering increasing the ethanol mandate. An E10 will require about 1.5 million tonnes of grain supplied each and every year from an increasingly variable and smaller harvest. This stupidity is compounded by the continuing Federal government policy of encouraging this industry to the tune of $230 million annually for an E10 just in NSW. All this again in the face of continuing concerns about converting food to fuel and the doubtful economic and environmental benefits of grain ethanol. Surely our politicians will use their common sense and heed the words of Lord Keynes, "When the facts change, I change my mind. What do you do, sir?"
Posted by Two Bob on 25/11/2008 8:32:24 AM
Two Bob is spot on. This ridiculous trend towards compulsory (through mandates) ethanol production without huge investment in 2nd or 3rd generation production techniques that would not require diversion of grains from the food chain is ludicrous. It is totally at odds with the emerging data about climate change and the pressure on the agricultural production regions. Ms Wong quite correctly says the government will not tell farmers what to grow and how to grow it. This should apply to not telling the community what the grain is to be used for. Ethanol mandates first in under Iemma and proposed under Bligh do just that. And ethanol from grain is not even energy efficient. By all means ethanol producers produce - but how about having a proper market not one propped up by government mandates and subsidies and create businesses that are sustainable not dependent on the taxpayer. Look at the mess in the USA ethanol industry. Not sustainable.
Posted by Jane on 25/11/2008 12:18:09 PM
Will some one please tell Wong and Rudd we are in a drought..and the cycle will turn, as it has for the water supply of Brisbane. If they kill rural Austarlia..the city will follow, maybe this government is a one term government..that would be best for Australia. WHAT IS PENNY Wong's background in water ?
Posted by Kel-Rugby on 25/11/2008 1:05:19 PM
Your right Kel, there will be some pretty embarassed politicians around when the wet cycle returns. .......Oh I forgot, floods are caused by "climate change" too!
Posted by Kevin Rude on 25/11/2008 7:49:54 PM

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24 Nov 08 | A new report on water availability in the Murray Darling Basin proves it can no longer be "business as usual" in the ailing river system, according to Federal Water Minister, Penny Wong.

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