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 The sunspot drought is breaking 

The sunspot drought is breaking

19 Jun, 2009 04:11 AM
BAD weather is on the way and scientists are relieved.

It is not the type that the weather bureau tips will bring more showers today and tomorrow - it is space weather, born beneath the sun's surface.

Scientists know the sun goes through an 11-year activity cycle.

At its peak, the sun frequently produces massive flares, belching deadly X-rays into space.

Gigantic explosions called coronal mass ejections spew out clouds of plasma far bigger than the Earth and blotchy sunspots dot the sun's face.

The flares and plasma clouds trigger interplanetary electromagnetic storms, causing auroras, disrupting long-distance communications and GPS navigation systems and even inducing electric currents in pipelines.

Such storms have caused power blackouts across Scandinavia and Canada.

The latest period of minimum solar activity should have ended "at least a year ago", the cosmic weatherman Phil Wilkinson said yesterday.

Why the sun has slumbered on has mystified scientists.

"We have had a drought of sunspots," said Dr Wilkinson, the assistant director of the Bureau of Meteorology's IPS radio and space services branch.

"This is the longest period the sun has been quiet since the start of the Space Age.

"Seeing the sun doing nothing is really exciting," he said, adding it made physicists wonder how little they really understood.

However, there is now evidence that all is well and that the sun is finally waking.

Dr Rachel Howe and Dr Frank Hill, of the US National Solar Observatory, using a global telescope network, including the Learmonth Solar Observatory at North West Cape, Western Australia, have found that sunspots increase when currents flowing from the sun's poles, up to 7000 kilometres beneath its surface, "reach a critical latitude of 22 degrees".

This time the currents have "moved sluggishly, taking three years to cover a 10-degree range in latitude compared to two years for the last solar cycle".

But they have "now reached the critical latitude … the sun's internal magnetic dynamo continues to operate, and heralds the beginning of a new cycle of solar activity".

Dr Wilkinson said: "We are just verging on starting to see [new] active regions on the sun."

He said the coming storms once more could treat the world to auroras and communication blackouts.

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Date: Newest first | Oldest first
And hence our reason for "climate change".
Posted by Loc Hey, 19/06/2009 4:15:20 PM
Climate change deniers, please take notice of this article. Sunspot activity has not caused an increase in solar radiation in the last decade and has not caused global warming. It has been happening without extra solar radiation or sunspot activity. Oh, I suppose you are going to say that this article has been written by the grand conspirators amongst the scientific community too.
Posted by Trugger, 20/06/2009 7:38:31 PM
Unfortunately, this is the problem with the whole debate about climate change. Most people ACCEPT the fact that there has been a change in the climate, however where the doubt arises is the fact if it is man induced. All the climate rednecks throw the two together and do not differentiate and accuse everyone of being climate deniers. This is much like Rudd lumping his ETS bills being together. It is time a public debate was allowed about man's influence, but after Labor gagging debate in the senate inquiry on Thursday, there is no hope.
Posted by jerangle, 22/06/2009 4:35:58 AM
Since when did sunspots have anything to do directly with solar radiation, Loc Hey? They are indicators for storms of ions that do mad things to the Earth's magnetic field and potentially to our electrical grids & communication systems........and if they go down them I suppose that you might expect our carbon emissions to actually go down too....after all no phone, no internet, no electricity means no need for all that power generation.....and when all the dumb people have been weeded out in the resultant human catastrophe....there'll be no climate problem. So gee....Loc Hey could be right!
Posted by seano, 22/06/2009 6:12:16 AM
The article also mentions a 11-year cycle...The natural cycle of weather change patterns. The natural normal climate change that we have always had??? Taxing natural cycles...Brilliant! So fantastic that the propaganda breeds further propaganda and then the whole thing ends up in recession.
Posted by bear, 22/06/2009 6:55:42 AM
This comment is addressed to earlier comments, not the article itself. The article here seems to be about cycles. Does anybody else see a distinction between long term change and ongoing cycles? Whether it be sun cycles, climate cycles, seasonal cycles.... Who decided everything should always stay the same, and on what basis?
Posted by Mal, 22/06/2009 7:17:34 AM
To Trugger - aren't sunspots dark areas observed on the sun. Wouldn't dark areas imply cooler? so does a lack of them actually support the idea the sun is contributing to warming?
Posted by observer, 22/06/2009 7:24:08 AM
Yeah its a wonder that the world has been cooling since 1998, ice caps are growing in certain parts. Man made climate change HA HA HA the sun takes up 98% of our solar system and you think MAN can SERIOUSLY alter our climate, please. Just look at history, it's global cooling we should be trying to avoid.
Posted by Dan, 22/06/2009 8:21:37 AM
So let's spell this out. Can we all agree that the hottest year on record was 1998. Yes OK. 1998 was 11 years ago. Yes OK. The solar cycle is 11 years. So the solar cycle should have been at or near its minimum 11 years ago. So temps should have been lower 11 years ago. So if the sun starts to heat up now and it is driving global temperatures we should see an increase in global temperatures over the next 5-6 years. We should have seen a peak in tempretures five - 6 years ago. (2003-4). Why didn't we. And now we see that the scientist who claim the sun drives everything don't know nearly as much as they thought. Climate change deniers HA HA Ha? What about solar believers Ra Ra Ra!
Posted by the lorax, 22/06/2009 11:32:46 AM
At least there is now a debate going on the matter of human induced climate change! This will allow further facts to be presented and predictions tested. Only then will a reasonable concensus occur as to what if any the relationship is between temperature change and human activity. Fear not change!
Posted by Bob, 30/06/2009 11:53:13 AM

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