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Grain futures plummet

01 Jul, 2008 11:51 AM
Chicago Board of Trade grains futures prices plummeted overnight in response to a US Department of Agriculture report showing a larger than expected harvest.

Corn fell by the maximum of US30 cents a bushel to US757c/bu for December '08 futures.

Wheat also tumbled, down US53.6c/bu to US881c/bu for the December '08 quote.

The USDA report showed a massive increase in wheat and corn plantings, which will absorb some of the losses expected from last month's floods.

US farmers are now expected to harvest nearly 79 million acres of corn and more than 72 million acres of soybeans in 2008, according to the USDA's National Agricultural Statistics Service.

The June 30 report shows that U.S. farmers planted 87.3 million acres of corn in 2008, down 7pc from last year's 93.6 million acres, but still the second-largest area since 1946.

Of that area, growers expect to harvest 78.9 million acres for grain, down 9pc from 2007 but still the second-largest area since 1944.

For soybeans, 2008 planted area is estimated at 74.5 million acres, the third largest on record and up 17pc from last year. Of the planted area, farmers expect to harvest 72.1 million acres, up 15pc from last year.

But NASS collected the initial data for the annual acreage report during the first two weeks of June, before the majority of the flooding occurred in the Midwest.

In an effort to more accurately determine how much of the planted area producers still intend to harvest for grain, NASS re-interviewed 1,150 farmers last week in flood-affected areas of Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Minnesota, Missouri and Wisconsin.

"While many farmers are still assessing their damage and their options, this re-interview process provided a first look at how much of the planted corn and soybeans may remain standing for harvest," said Carol House, chair of NASS's Agricultural Statistics Board.

"What we are seeing is that the ratio of acres intended for harvest, compared to acres originally planted, is off about 2pc from what we would have expected prior the floods."

NASS's August 12 crop production report will contain the first 2008 estimates of corn and soybean yield and production.

To help ensure that these estimates are based on the best information available, NASS plans to supplement its standard survey activities by re-interviewing approximately 9000 farmers in the flood-affected areas.

These will be conducted in mid-July, allowing time for flooded fields to dry and for farmers to fully asses their options.

Additionally, NASS will increase the number of corn and soybean fields selected for objective field measurements.

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