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 Farmers holding onto wheat, says AWB 

Farmers holding onto wheat, says AWB

20/11/2008 3:29:00 PM
Wheat farmers across Australia are holding back their grain deliveries to AWB Ltd - and to other exporters - in the first season since AWB lost its status as Australia's monopoly wheat exporter.

The Australian Financial Review on Thursday reported that farmers had committed only about 5pc or 900,000 tonnes of an expected 20 million tonne national wheat harvest so far to AWB.

AWB chief executive Gordon Davis said uncertainty created by the deregulation of the wheat export markets meant farmers were stockpiling their wheat, while they sorted out the best available price.

However, he said farmers could yet deliver more of their crop to the company.

Even WA's big CBH Group, which is in the box seat to receive the wheat in that state, is concerned, according to a report in Farm Weekly, WA.

CBH warns that the WA grain receival system is in danger of breaking down as growers delay selling grain while they shop around for the best price in the new deregulated market.

A bulk carrier fleet anchored off Geraldton, WA, for instance, remains idle this week and the CBH is concerned that unless some grain is quickly sold and moved out, the system could collapse.

CBH Group executive logistics manager Tim Collins has told Farm Weekly that farmers who have already harvested in the northern wheatbelt are waiting to get the best price in the deregulated wheat export market.

Grain from this season's harvest is starting to pour into Geraldton zone silos and there are fears the problem could spread to the WA's other grain ports, Kwinana, Albany and Esperance.

A ship arrived at Geraldton last week and another five are due this week.

The ships have a total 167,000 tonnes capacity.

Growers could be billed demurrage costs because some of the ships have been ordered by CBH subsidiaries Grain Pool and its wheat marketing arm AgraCorp.

Demurrage costs for when the ships are sitting empty offshore could be high.

The only consolation is that daily shipping rates have plummeted causing Panamax-size ships that cost $60,000-$70,000 daily six months ago to now charge $10,000-$15,000.

Mr Collins said while he is concerned about the cost of unused ships his main concern is how the storage system would cope if the grain isn't moved quickly.

Mr Collins said unless some of the grain is nominated quickly, the receival system could clog up and crops could have to stay in their paddocks.

"CBH has 20 million tonnes of storage capacity if you have one grade, but when you have 60-65 segregations you lose your capacity very quickly," he said.

"The system is quite literally a pipeline and so it is important that pipeline is kept open.

"If these ships don't get grain we have a significant problem.

"We don't need all grain nominated, but about 20pc-30pc."

About 1mt has been harvested in the Geraldton zone so far this harvest.

Mr Collins said the cooler weather had made matters worse because grain had not been received quickly.

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Comments


Date: Newest first | Oldest first
Perhaps Tony Burke and the Liberal Party have the answer for the disorder they have created. No word from Wilson Tuckey?
Posted by Realist on 20/11/2008 7:55:58 PM
Welcome to reality. Fellas, get a decent price on the board, one that's above cost-of-production and you will have the grain.

In the meantime, it will be enjoyable to watch the traders squirm for a while. Also, whoever is running around a telling everyone that we have a 20 million ton crop is wrong. Wake up. Get out of that office and have a look and talk to people.

Posted by Tony on 21/11/2008 5:32:16 AM
The big grain traders are scratching their heads wondering why farmers aren't piling grain into their delivery centres? It's called trust. You can't have it both ways.

After doing all you could to tear our orderly marketing system out from under our feet, with the help of politicians, Iraqi scandal, Labor's backflip before the election to deregulate, scrapping grower control of our companies, the appalling prices on offer early in the harvest, the vanishing cash price, you can't expect to get paid cash anymore.

Look, we know we have a world product that's in demand and we know what it's really worth. We don't even know if you've got any money to actually pay us for it if we do deliver it and if you can't organise shipping that's your cost, not ours.

Trust. Your credibility on this count is in tatters, just waiting to pocket our price premiums for yourselves. Trust. Don't ask a banker. You've been taking too many leaves out of their books already on how to treat your customers. It will take you years to get back what you lost - credibility with your producers.

Posted by cynic on 21/11/2008 6:43:40 AM
Grain traders, did you think your jobs were going to be more secure without single desk. Wheat doesn't grow without money. Find some!
Posted by Ray on 21/11/2008 8:00:47 PM
We can think we know what our wheat is worth but the reality is that the price is not governed by what we think it is. Wheat futures have dropped from a high of 1300c to 500c this year. The A$ has also fallen dramatically over the same period and has cushioned the impact of the falling futures price of wheat. For those who choose to hold on to their wheat you run the risk of the A$ appreciating in value and more downside to the futures price of wheat. But at the end of the day deregulation of the wheat industry has absolutely nothing to do with the price of wheat today and all costs associated with holding back grain will be borne by growers.
Posted by WA wheat grower on 25/11/2008 9:08:41 AM
A message to the farmers who sound rather angry: your intent to stock grains until you get a 'better price' would only act as a ceiling on prices for a long time. Think of what happened to cocoa, your actions could depress prices much more and for much longer than if you clean the slate now. Traders are not at fault, there is just less money (and forcibly demand) for your products. Don't be greedy and accept that after a few bumper years you might make a small loss this year.
Posted by william on 26/11/2008 6:35:48 AM
Fair dinkim, William. Where have you been watching the world? Please tell me where and how many farmers have been having bumper years and can afford a small loss this year.

If you haven't noticed, there has been a fair few years of severe drought now, with the vast majority not even covering production costs.

The reason farmers are stockpiling their grain is not because of greed but purely because we would like to get a bit closer to covering costs than the current joke prices would enable.

I can't shake my head enough at your comments...

Posted by Bumper Where? on 28/11/2008 9:45:22 AM
As G Davis is quoted to have said "uncertainty created by deregulation" is the issue. The more the export grain industry becomes a hot potato the less enthusiasm growers will have for it, the smaller it will become.
Posted by hunger the new world order on 4/12/2008 8:39:51 PM

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Q: Would you approve if the Federal Government put the budget into deficit in order to counter the effects of the global financial crisis?

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Total Votes: 677
Poll Date: 17/11/2008

11/12/2008 | Farm lobby groups will decide next week whether the future of farm representation will stay as it is or be broadened to bring in the big end of town.
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