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Where's the beef?

11 Feb, 2010 01:00 AM
WA is heading towards a major beef shortage, according to producer and butcher shop owner Kevin Armstrong.

Mr Armstrong said the dismal state of the WA beef industry had resulted in producers opting out of breeding cattle, and it was the larger producers making that choice.

"It's the bigger producers that are getting out, not the smaller ones," Mr Armstrong said.

"I think we'll start to feel the impact of this in 12 months time.

"You only have to look at the number of weaner sales we used to have, compared to the number we have now."

Mr Armstrong said this year's breeder sales left many producers making less money than they would have if they had sold their cattle for slaughter – just another contributing factor to a high pressure situation for cattle breeders.

"I know blokes who have gone out of cattle in favour of breeding sheep," he said.

"I've been through three beef crashes in my time, but I have never seen one where costs are as high as they are today.

"If you ran 300 breeders and averaged $500 for your calves, that would get you $150,000.

"That's $150,000 for all your fertiliser and other inputs, and then if you need to hire labour it is worse.

"It's a struggle, even on $300,000 it's a struggle.

"That is why our industry is shrinking at a rapid rate."

Some in the industry had suggested that the cattle herd in the north of the state could sustain the industry, but Mr Armstrong said the bos Indicus types were simply not suitable for the domestic market.

He said he believed the live export industry would continue to go from strength to strength, and was an integral part of the beef industry, now even in the South West.

Where that leaves the domestic market however, is the big question.

"I've dealt with cattle since I was 14 years-old and have never seen a situation like this," Mr Armstrong said.

"Not one person I've spoken to is increasing their breeder numbers, we are, but that's only so we can secure our own supply.

"There is nothing stable in our industry, and that's sad."

According to Agriculture and Food Department market analyst Ed O'Loughlin, beef numbers have declined over the past three years, while slaughterings have mainly increased during the same period.

Mr O'Loughlin said the decline had not been as dramatic as the sheep industry, but ABS figures still highlighted a downward trend.

In June 2007, the state's beef herd, which includes both pastoral and agricultural cattle, sat at 2.2 million.

In June 2008, that figure declined to 2.1m and in June 2009, the ABS preliminary figure showed the WA beef herd at 2m head.

The number of cattle slaughtered has risen from 449,000 head in the 2006/2007 financial year to 485,000 in the 2008/2009 period, although that did decline by 2000 head compared to the 2007/2008 period.

The number of cattle sold to the live export industry has also risen, but there was a dip in 2007/2008.

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comments


Date: Newest first | Oldest first
if only we could average $500/ head for our calves Kevin! I think most people would be lucky to average 400-450 this year, then try to do your figures. Consider your best heifers at 320kg x $1.30= $416 and I guess every one gets half heifers and half steers. Steers averaging 340kg x $1.50= $510. Then you have all your commission, freight and fees to come out. I dont think the fertiliser companies will be very happy this year. 300 x $450 is only $135000, theres my vacation, or my childrens education all gone.
Posted by realitycheck, 11/02/2010 4:36:05 PM, on Farm Weekly
hay kev dont worry our wise govt is allowing meat imports you will be able to buy your beef already cut up and in a box sell your farms and cattle and buy imported beef to stock your butcher shop invest the farm sale funds and you will be home and hosed the beef industry is doomed in wa unless we have another mad cow problem overseas
Posted by shaun, 12/02/2010 8:11:20 AM, on Farm Weekly
I finally found my happy place once i gave up on cattle prices & any future in an industry that wants fewer farmers, the sad fact is no one cares within the supply line, the consumer pays $15 to $21 a kg at the supermarket, the consumer expects that their hard earned $ is filtered down evenly to all parts of the industry, but the so called industry takes advantage of the weakest link in the supply line to make even more money. The general public accepts that the workforce needs & wants union protection maybe its time that farmers get one to stop being exploited??? takes a bit to get your head around but farmers need protecting for all australians
Posted by buggard, 12/02/2010 10:09:25 AM, on Farm Weekly
Producers make nothing, processors crying poor, the supermarkets must really battle to make a buck out of meat ... yeah right. Two out of the three in this chain kill the pig and don't go without - I wonder who it is. You guess.
Posted by shaun, 12/02/2010 12:35:04 PM, on Farm Weekly

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