THE national wool production decline has shown its first signs of stabilising in nearly two years, according to the latest forecast from the Australian Wool Production Forecasting Committee (AWPFC).
The AWPFC has calculated that Australian shorn wool production in 2009/10 is expected to be 330 million kilograms greasy, the same as its forecast in July.
But it's still a 32mkg drop from the 2008/09 totals.
Keeping in line with the July forecast, WA is still expected to have the highest wool production drop in Australia, with a 15pc deficit to 72mkg forecast by the AWPFC.
But farmers such as Peter Glatz may contribute to a turnaround in the wool production drop. Mr Glatz has bought in 1000 Merino ewes to increase his family's wool and meat producing operation this year.
"When people went completely over to cropping we wanted to keep producing our wool," Mr Glatz said.
"We had to buy in a few Merinos for this year, but within a couple more years, we'll be breeding our own to get a self-replacing flock."
Mr Glatz, originally from Goomalling, runs the Glatz family's grazing properties in Toodyay and Moore River from Perth, while his sons take care of the Goomalling property.
He has a total of 6000 sheep, predominantly Dohnes, spread over his properties.
Mr Glatz is enthusiastic about the wool market.
"It's improved a bit now, it's still worth being in wool, that's why I've always stuck with the wool factor," he said.
"I can't see other farmers coming back to wool very quickly so I think the prices will improve."
Mr Glatz has no plans to cut the size of his Dohne Merino flock because of the good meat prices.
"We are where we like to be with our farming," he said.
"I think people are always going to want wool."
AWPFC chairman Russell Pattinson said the main issue was still national sheep numbers, which have had the biggest impact on the 32mkg decline from last year.
"Key statistics, including season-to-date wool tests and wool receivals, continue to point to a fall in production of around 30mkg greasy for the year," he said.
"While seasonal conditions have been patchy around Australia, some areas have experienced the best conditions in a decade, but others are still very dry.
"However, for a range of reasons, including relative returns from sheep compared with other enterprises, it appears that producers are starting to look again at sheep as a key part of their farming business."
The Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) released its preliminary estimate on the number of sheep in Australia as at July 1, 2009, at 71.6 million head. This is seven per cent lower than the number a year earlier.
"Importantly though, the latest statistics from the ABS also show that sheep slaughterings are down 19pc for the first four months of 2009/10 while lamb slaughterings were up 6pc," Mr Pattinson said.
"As well, the number of live sheep exported in the September 2009 quarter was down 27pc.
"These figures suggest that the turn-off of adult sheep has slowed considerably."